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Gunnar Gundy

#12Gunnar Gundy

Gunnar Gundy is a Dual-Threat QB for Oklahoma State. Gunnar's 2023 season produced 9.8 total EPA across 45 plays.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.46
    Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.51
    Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Gunnar Gundy's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2023 Production

Passing
21/34 Comp/Att202 Pass yards1 Pass TD0 INT61.8% Comp %
Rushing
49 Rush yards1 Rush TD15 Carries3.3 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2023 · vs QB peers

  • Efficiency0
  • Volume49
  • Dual-Threat100
  • Consistency40
  • Clutch5
Player type
Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg
Game-to-game consistency40th %ile · below avg
Key findings
  • Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
  • Peak game: 0.74 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs Central Arkansas.

NIL Market Tier· 2023

On3 valuation ↗
Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+0.7400.74Wk 1 vs Central Arkansas: +0.74 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Arizona State: -0.20 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs South Alabama: +0.06 EPA/play3
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+C/ATTPass YdsPass TDINTQBRRush YdsRush TDEPA/play
1vsCentral ArkansasW27-137/91060080.02000.74
2@Arizona StateW27-15-11.35/7321025.3-80-0.20
3vsSouth AlabamaL7-335.19/18640021.62700.06
20vsTexas A&MW31-2315.6101

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
17.0%
Passing plays
22.5%
Rushing plays
9.0%
Standard downs
14.4%
Passing downs
22.7%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.29
Passing downs
0.12
Pass / Rush EPA
0.10 / 0.68

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.