#2Gavin Wimsatt

QB·Rutgers·2023

Gavin Wimsatt is a Dual-Threat QB for Rutgers. Gavin's 2023 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 400 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Gavin Wimsatt's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2023 Production

Passing

138/289 Comp/Att1735 Pass yards9 Pass TD8 INT47.8% Comp %

Rushing

497 Rush yards11 Rush TD131 Carries3.8 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2023 · vs QB peers

Efficiency0
Volume100
Dual-Threat76
Consistency78
Clutch94

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency78th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.10 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 0.57 EPA/play in Wk 5 vs Wagner.

NIL Market Tier· 2023

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	vsNorthwestern	W24-7	-1.3	17/29	163	1	0	82.0	33	1	0.30
2	vsTemple	W36-7	-21.0	10/21	198	1	0	65.9	24	0	0.09
3	vsVirginia Tech	W35-16	5.8	7/16	46	1	0	80.7	87	1	0.17
4	@Michigan	L7-31	31.3	11/21	180	1	1	75.6	28	0	0.37
5	vsWagner	W52-3	—	12/19	146	1	0	71.5	15	2	0.57
6	@Wisconsin	L13-24	9.4	16/35	181	1	1	27.2	43	0	0.10
7	vsMichigan State	W27-24	-6.8	13/28	181	1	2	28.6	-11	0	0.15
8	@Indiana	W31-14	-7.4	5/12	39	0	0	87.1	143	3	0.40
10	vsOhio State	L16-35	25.2	10/25	129	1	1	24.0	49	0	0.07
11	@Iowa	L0-22	5.8	7/18	93	0	1	26.6	-2	0	0.09
12	@Penn State	L6-27	23.5	10/16	130	0	1	67.3	31	0	0.02
13	vsMaryland	L24-42	11.0	13/34	165	1	1	38.5	48	2	0.25
20	vsMiami	W31-24	9.6	7/15	84	0	0	52.8	9	2	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

51.1%

Passing plays

96.7%

Rushing plays

23.8%

Standard downs

43.8%

Passing downs

68.2%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.10
Passing downs: 0.37
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.17 / 0.28

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).