Duece Watts is a Red Zone Weapon WR for Tulane. Duece's 2020 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 53 plays — a elite rate for the WR.
Goes from good to great inside the 20 — high TD conversion on limited looks makes this receiver a scoring machine.
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quadree Henderson | Pittsburgh | 2016 | 63 | 0.530 | 1.6 | 33.4 |
| DeAndre Hughes | Air Force | 2021 | 60 | 0.470 | 1.3 | 28.2 |
| Keytaon Thompson | Mississippi State | 2017 | 70 | 0.460 | 1.2 | 32.2 |
| Savion Williams | TCU | 2024 | 56 | 0.450 | 1.1 | 25.2 |
| Javion Posey | Florida Atlantic | 2020 | 53 | 0.450 | 1.4 | 23.8 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Rec | Rec Yds | Avg | Rec TD | Long | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | @Southern Miss | W66-24 | -7.9 | 2 | 38 | 19.0 | 0 | 23 | 0.02 |
| 6 | @Houston | L31-49 | 3.3 | 2 | 50 | 25.0 | 0 | 40 | 1.29 |
| 7 | vsSMU | L34-37 | 9.2 | 3 | 56 | 18.7 | 0 | 42 |
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).
Rec 4 · Rec Yds 46 · Avg 11.5 · Rec TD 1
| 0.81 |
| 8 | @UCF | L34-51 | 13.6 | 3 | 48 | 16.0 | 1 | 28 | 2.03 |
| 9 | vsTemple | W38-3 | -10.0 | 5 | 114 | 22.8 | 2 | 52 | 1.23 |
| 10 | @East Carolina | W38-21 | -11.0 | 5 | 57 | 11.4 | 2 | 35 | 0.21 |
| 11 | vsArmy | W38-12 | 2.7 | 6 | 85 | 14.2 | 0 | 26 | 0.68 |
| 12 | @Tulsa | L24-30 | 5.6 | 1 | 18 | 18.0 | 0 | 18 | 0.56 |
| 14 | vsMemphis | W35-21 | 5.7 | 4 | 46 | 11.5 | 1 | 18 | 0.46 |
