Dez Fitzpatrick is a Vertical Threat WR for Louisville. Dez's 2020 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 62 plays — a elite rate for the WR.
Elite deep receiver who stretches the field. Wins downfield, commands safety attention, and creates the threat that opens underneath routes.
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quadree Henderson | Pittsburgh | 2016 | 63 | 0.530 | 1.6 | 33.4 |
| DeAndre Hughes | Air Force | 2021 | 60 | 0.470 | 1.3 | 28.2 |
| Keytaon Thompson | Mississippi State | 2017 | 70 | 0.460 | 1.2 | 32.2 |
| Savion Williams | TCU | 2024 | 56 | 0.450 | 1.1 | 25.2 |
| Javion Posey | Florida Atlantic | 2020 | 53 | 0.450 | 1.4 | 23.8 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Rec | Rec Yds | Avg | Rec TD | Long | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vsWestern Kentucky | W35-21 | -3.2 | 4 | 110 | 27.5 | 1 | 70 | 2.15 |
| 3 | vsMiami | L34-47 | 12.8 | 7 | 74 | 10.6 | 0 | 19 | 0.63 |
| 4 | @Pittsburgh | L20-23 | 6.0 | 1 | 14 | 14.0 | 0 | 14 |
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).
Rec 6 · Rec Yds 77 · Avg 12.8 · Rec TD 0
| 0.78 |
| 6 | @Georgia Tech | L27-46 | -1.0 | 1 | 36 | 36.0 | 0 | 36 | 0.47 |
| 7 | @Notre Dame | L7-12 | 21.0 | 2 | 21 | 10.5 | 0 | 11 | 0.62 |
| 8 | vsFlorida State | W48-16 | -4.9 | 2 | 30 | 15.0 | 0 | 20 | 0.10 |
| 9 | vsVirginia Tech | L35-42 | 13.7 | 5 | 158 | 31.6 | 1 | 82 | 1.26 |
| 11 | @Virginia | L17-31 | 0.9 | 5 | 71 | 14.2 | 0 | 24 | 0.17 |
| 12 | vsSyracuse | W30-0 | -9.8 | 2 | 60 | 30.0 | 0 | 39 | 0.41 |
| 13 | @Boston College | L27-34 | 0.9 | 8 | 182 | 22.8 | 1 | 69 | 1.44 |
| 15 | vsWake Forest | W45-21 | 0.8 | 6 | 77 | 12.8 | 0 | 28 | 0.53 |