#3Devonte Lyons

RB·Florida International·2025

Devonte Lyons is a Pass-Catching Back for Florida International. Devonte's 2025 season produced -3.4 total EPA across 35 plays.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Devonte Lyons's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Rushing

142 Rush yards1 Rush TD37 Carries3.8 Yards/carry

Receiving

12 Receptions65 Rec yards0 Rec TD5.4 Yards/rec

Returns

2 Kick returns37 KR yards0 KR TD

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers

Efficiency0
Volume19
Explosiveness16
Consistency28
Receiving100

Player type

Pass-Catching Back

Third-down weapon out of the backfield. Routes, hands, and separation in coverage define this role as much as rushing.

3rd-down backReceiving threatPass protection

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency28th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.45 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 0.49 EPA/play in Wk 4 vs Delaware (SP+ -11).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Contributor

Rotational contributor. Smaller collective or local deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	vsBethune-Cookman	W42-9	—	8	54	6.8	1	1	1	0	0.32
2	@Penn State	L0-34	18.1	8	39	4.9	0	1	5	0	0.08
3	vsFlorida Atlantic	W38-28	-8.7	3	-3	-1.0	0	1	2	0	-0.99
4	vsDelaware	L16-38	-10.9	3	8	2.7	0	5	33	0	0.49
6	@UConn	L10-51	5.1	3	19	6.3	0	1	6	0	0.20
8	@Western Kentucky	W25-6	1.6	1	3	3.0	0	—	—	—	-0.28
9	vsKennesaw State	L26-45	-5.4	1	1	1.0	0	—	—	—	-0.86
11	@Middle Tennessee	W56-30	-16.0	3	11	3.7	0	—	—	—	-0.12
12	vsLiberty	W34-27	-9.0	1	2	2.0	0	—	—	—	-0.45
14	vsSam Houston	W56-16	-27.8	5	6	1.2	0	—	—	—	-0.31
20	vsUTSA	L20-57	3.7	1	2	2.0	0	3	18	0	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

6.6%

Passing plays

4.2%

Rushing plays

9.1%

Standard downs

6.1%

Passing downs

7.5%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: -0.22
Passing downs: 0.09
Pass / Rush EPA: -0.11 / -0.09

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).