#6Davon Booth

RB·Utah State·2023

Davon Booth is a Explosive Back for Utah State. Davon's 2023 season ranks in the 3th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 101 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Davon Booth's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2023 Production

Rushing

805 Rush yards6 Rush TD120 Carries6.7 Yards/carry

Receiving

12 Receptions50 Rec yards0 Rec TD4.2 Yards/rec

Returns

1 Kick returns4 KR yards0 KR TD

Performance Analysis · 2023 · vs RB peers

Efficiency3
Volume43
Explosiveness74
Consistency37
Receiving34

Player type

Explosive Back

Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.

Big-play threatHigh EPA per carryCapitalises on opportunities

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)3th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency37th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.13 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 0.75 EPA/play in Wk 6 vs Colorado State (SP+ -9).

NIL Market Tier· 2023

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	@Iowa	L14-24	5.8	8	33	4.1	0	2	6	0	-0.10
2	vsIdaho State	W78-28	—	6	83	13.8	2	1	1	0	0.54
3	@Air Force	L21-39	5.9	7	19	2.7	0	1	9	0	0.10
4	vsJames Madison	L38-45	11.8	21	103	4.9	0	1	-3	0	-0.05
5	@UConn	W34-33	-15.6	6	16	2.7	0	3	15	0	-0.10
6	vsColorado State	W44-24	-8.9	14	141	10.1	2	—	—	—	0.75
7	vsFresno State	L32-37	2.5	11	51	4.6	0	—	—	—	-0.07
8	@San José State	L21-42	-3.4	11	43	3.9	0	1	6	0	—
10	@San Diego State	W32-24	-10.3	13	77	5.9	1	1	5	0	—
12	vsBoise State	L10-45	5.9	12	125	10.4	0	—	—	—	0.37
13	@New Mexico	W44-41	-16.5	7	43	6.1	0	—	—	—	-0.14
20	vsGeorgia State	L22-45	-6.8	4	71	17.8	1	2	11	0	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

14.9%

Passing plays

2.8%

Rushing plays

28.5%

Standard downs

16.9%

Passing downs

10.7%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.14
Passing downs: 0.50
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.06 / 0.23

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).