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Cornell Hatcher Jr.
Cornell Hatcher Jr.

#3Cornell Hatcher Jr.

RB·Oregon State·2025

Cornell Hatcher Jr. is a Committee Back for Oregon State. Cornell's 2025 season produced 4.7 total EPA across 45 plays.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.52
    Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.41
    Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Cornell Hatcher Jr.'s projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Rushing
292 Rush yards2 Rush TD52 Carries5.6 Yards/carry
Receiving
5 Receptions17 Rec yards1 Rec TD3.4 Yards/rec
Returns
2 Kick returns34 KR yards0 KR TD

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers

  • Efficiency0
  • Volume26
  • Explosiveness52
  • Consistency9
  • Receiving56
Player type
Committee Back

Part of a rotation — contributes in a complementary role and keeps the featured back fresh.

Rotational roleSituational use
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg
Game-to-game consistency9th %ile · below avg
Key findings
  • ▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
  • ▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
  • ▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
  • ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.16 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • ▸Peak game: 0.52 EPA/play in Wk 7 vs Wake Forest (SP+ 6).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗
Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+0.520−0.52Wk 1 vs California: +0.46 EPA/play1Wk 4 vs Oregon: -0.17 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Houston: -0.03 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs App State: +0.21 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs Wake Forest: +0.52 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs Lafayette: +0.35 EPA/play8Wk 10 vs Washington State: -0.03 EPA/play10Wk 12 vs Tulsa: -0.20 EPA/play12Wk 14 vs Washington State: -0.27 EPA/play14
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+CarRush YdsAvgRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDEPA/play
1vsCaliforniaL15-34-3.211010.001400.46
4@OregonL7-4125.94143.50———-0.17
5vsHoustonL24-277.417935.51260-0.03
6@App StateL23-27-11.44174.3011510.21
7vsWake ForestL14-395.77436.11———0.52
8vsLafayetteW45-13—56312.60———0.35
10vsWashington StateW10-73.86244.001-80-0.03
12@TulsaL14-31-10.06203.30———-0.20
14@Washington StateL8-323.8284.00———-0.27

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
9.1%
Passing plays
2.8%
Rushing plays
16.5%
Standard downs
10.7%
Passing downs
5.7%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.09
Passing downs
0.16
Pass / Rush EPA
-0.04 / 0.13

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.