#6Coleman Owen

WR·Ohio·2024

Coleman Owen is a Versatile WR for Ohio. Coleman's 2024 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 90 plays — a elite rate for the WR.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.47
Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
Total EPA (value)0.45
Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Coleman Owen's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Receiving

78 Receptions1235 Rec yards8 Rec TD15.8 Yards/rec

Returns

17 Punt returns132 PR yards1 PR TD

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs WR peers

Efficiency100
Volume29
Explosiveness59
Consistency87
Pass-Down100

Player type

Versatile WR

Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.

Balanced usageMulti-role

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite

Game-to-game consistency87th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸13 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.20 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 2.54 EPA/play in Wk 9 vs Buffalo (SP+ -4).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗

Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Rec	Rec Yds	Avg	Rec TD	Long	EPA/play
1	@Syracuse	L22-38	5.5	10	137	13.7	0	27	1.28
2	vsSouth Alabama	W27-20	2.8	5	33	6.6	0	9	0.81
3	vsMorgan State	W21-6	—	6	112	18.7	0	53	1.46
4	@Kentucky	L6-41	5.5	4	54	13.5	0	27	1.00
5	vsAkron	W30-10	-17.9	6	130	21.7	2	75	1.92
7	@Central Michigan	W27-25	-15.8	5	48	9.6	1	20	1.01
8	@Miami (OH)	L20-30	1.3	2	12	6.0	0	10	0.78
9	vsBuffalo	W47-16	-4.0	6	146	24.3	2	65	2.54
11	@Kent State	W41-0	-33.0	4	61	15.3	0	22	0.74
12	vsEastern Michigan	W35-10	-13.3	8	139	17.4	0	34	1.56
13	@Toledo	W24-7	-2.5	1	8	8.0	0	8	0.95
14	vsBall State	W42-21	-19.8	5	142	28.4	2	50	1.79
15	vsMiami (OH)	W38-3	1.3	5	73	14.6	1	25	0.71
20	vsJacksonville State	W30-27	-1.0	11	140	12.7	0	34	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

10.0%

Passing plays

24.7%

Rushing plays

0.4%

Standard downs

9.4%

Passing downs

11.5%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 1.04
Passing downs: 1.34
Pass / Rush EPA: 1.13 / 2.65

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).