Cameron Ward

QB·Washington State·2024 20234.9 pts line value

Cameron Ward is a 2-year Dual-Threat QB for Washington State. Cameron's 2023 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 562 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Cameron Ward's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2023 Production

Passing

324/486 Comp/Att3732 Pass yards25 Pass TD7 INT66.7% Comp %

Rushing

122 Rush yards8 Rush TD120 Carries1.0 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2023 · vs QB peers

Efficiency0
Volume100
Dual-Threat67
Consistency72
Clutch100

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency72th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸3 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Peak game: 1.05 EPA/play in Wk 3 vs Northern Colorado.

NIL Market Tier· 2023

On3 valuation ↗

Contributor

Rotational contributor. Smaller collective or local deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	@Colorado State	W50-24	-8.9	37/49	451	3	0	72.9	40	1	0.46
2	vsWisconsin	W31-22	9.4	21/33	208	2	0	66.5	43	0	0.17
3	vsNorthern Colorado	W64-21	—	20/26	327	4	0	98.1	12	1	1.05
4	vsOregon State	W38-35	12.6	28/34	404	4	0	93.0	14	1	0.39
6	@UCLA	L17-25	9.7	19/39	197	1	2	32.8	-12	0	-0.20
7	vsArizona	L6-44	14.1	22/30	192	0	1	28.9	4	0	0.13
8	@Oregon	L24-38	26.2	34/48	438	1	0	74.7	30	0	0.24
9	@Arizona State	L27-38	-11.3	35/50	315	1	0	76.1	35	2	0.31
10	vsStanford	L7-10	-11.9	24/40	241	1	1	20.4	-36	0	0.15
11	@California	L39-42	-0.1	34/59	354	3	1	56.8	6	1	0.19
12	vsColorado	W56-14	-4.9	18/30	288	2	0	65.9	5	2	0.48
13	@Washington	L21-24	16.4	32/48	317	3	2	62.2	-19	0	0.32

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

70.3%

Passing plays

95.8%

Rushing plays

28.1%

Standard downs

65.8%

Passing downs

80.1%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.14
Passing downs: 0.52
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.28 / 0.24

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2023 — 2024 · 25 games

Season	Team	Line value	WEPA/play	YoY Δ	Total EPA
2023	Washington State	4.9	0.387	—	232.4
2024	Miami	14.0	0.612	+0.22	317.0

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.