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Brock Townsend
Brock Townsend

#2Brock Townsend

RB·Central Michigan·2025

Brock Townsend is a Pass-Catching Back for Central Michigan. Brock's 2025 season ranks in the 70th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 77 plays — a average rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.52
    Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.41
    Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Brock Townsend's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Rushing
418 Rush yards4 Rush TD82 Carries5.1 Yards/carry
Receiving
13 Receptions145 Rec yards4 Rec TD11.2 Yards/rec
Returns
2 Kick returns19 KR yards0 KR TD

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers

  • Efficiency70
  • Volume36
  • Explosiveness42
  • Consistency29
  • Receiving79
Player type
Pass-Catching Back

Third-down weapon out of the backfield. Routes, hands, and separation in coverage define this role as much as rushing.

3rd-down backReceiving threatPass protection
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)70th %ile · average
Game-to-game consistency29th %ile · below avg
Key findings
  • ▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
  • ▸3 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.27 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • ▸Peak game: 1.30 EPA/play in Wk 6 vs Akron (SP+ -14).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗
Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+1.300−1.30Wk 2 vs Pittsburgh: +0.21 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Michigan: -0.00 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Wagner: +0.49 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Eastern Michigan: +0.22 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs Akron: +1.30 EPA/play6Wk 8 vs Bowling Green: -0.35 EPA/play8Wk 9 vs Massachusetts: +0.52 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs Western Michigan: -0.37 EPA/play10Wk 12 vs Buffalo: +0.11 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Kent State: -0.10 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Toledo: +0.05 EPA/play14
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+CarRush YdsAvgRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDEPA/play
2@PittsburghL17-458.41-1-1.0022000.21
3@MichiganL3-6312.4591.80180-0.00
4vsWagnerW49-10—4205.0012210.49
5vsEastern MichiganW24-13-14.78516.402510.22
6@AkronL22-28-13.9810813.50———1.30
8@Bowling GreenW27-6-12.66416.80110-0.35
9vsMassachusettsW38-13-36.612342.8227810.52
10@Western MichiganL21-24-1.49262.90———-0.37
12vsBuffaloW38-19-7.52115.502300.11
13@Kent StateW28-16-19.36274.52———-0.10
14vsToledoL3-216.014684.901500.05
20vsNorthwesternL7-345.87243.40131—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
12.5%
Passing plays
5.4%
Rushing plays
16.8%
Standard downs
13.9%
Passing downs
9.4%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.14
Passing downs
0.56
Pass / Rush EPA
0.92 / 0.11

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.