#22Antonio Harris

RB·Purdue·2025

Antonio Harris is a Pass-Catching Back for Purdue. Antonio's 2025 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 69 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Antonio Harris's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Rushing

305 Rush yards2 Rush TD69 Carries4.4 Yards/carry

Receiving

17 Receptions137 Rec yards0 Rec TD8.1 Yards/rec

Returns

3 Kick returns41 KR yards0 KR TD

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers

Efficiency0
Volume35
Explosiveness28
Consistency50
Receiving84

Player type

Pass-Catching Back

Third-down weapon out of the backfield. Routes, hands, and separation in coverage define this role as much as rushing.

3rd-down backReceiving threatPass protection

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency50th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸5 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.20 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 1.60 EPA/play in Wk 9 vs Rutgers (SP+ 1).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	vsBall State	W31-0	-23.0	3	12	4.0	0	1	22	0	0.86
2	vsSouthern Illinois	W34-17	—	5	26	5.2	0	—	—	—	0.45
3	vsUSC	L17-33	16.9	1	-2	-2.0	0	1	15	0	0.77
4	@Notre Dame	L30-56	24.4	3	5	1.7	0	2	20	0	0.11
6	vsIllinois	L27-43	12.9	4	69	17.3	1	1	5	0	0.67
7	@Minnesota	L20-27	1.5	2	0	0.0	0	1	6	0	-0.27
8	@Northwestern	L0-19	5.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
9	vsRutgers	L24-27	1.0	2	42	21.0	0	1	18	0	1.60
10	@Michigan	L16-21	12.4	11	54	4.9	1	1	2	0	-0.01
11	vsOhio State	L10-34	30.1	13	45	3.5	0	3	19	0	-0.03
12	@Washington	L13-49	18.4	10	23	2.3	0	3	12	0	-0.40
14	vsIndiana	L3-56	32.4	15	31	2.1	0	3	18	0	-0.00

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

12.3%

Passing plays

5.7%

Rushing plays

20.4%

Standard downs

12.8%

Passing downs

11.3%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: -0.04
Passing downs: 0.55
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.48 / 0.03

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).