#7Alan Bowman

QB·Oklahoma State·2024

Alan Bowman is a Clutch Passer for Oklahoma State. Alan's 2024 season ranks in the 3th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 317 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Alan Bowman's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Passing

204/340 Comp/Att2442 Pass yards17 Pass TD12 INT60.0% Comp %

Rushing

-38 Rush yards0 Rush TD24 Carries-1.6 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs QB peers

Efficiency3
Volume100
Dual-Threat0
Consistency65
Clutch58

Player type

Clutch Passer

Elevates on passing downs — 3rd-and-medium, two-minute drills, and pressure situations are where this QB is best.

3rd-down precisionLate-game valueHigh passing-down EPA

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)3th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency65th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸3 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.32 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 1.09 EPA/play in Wk 3 vs Tulsa (SP+ -21).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗

Star

Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	vsSouth Dakota State	W44-20	—	25/34	267	3	0	82.7	8	0	0.80
2	vsArkansas	W39-31	11.0	27/48	326	1	1	64.2	7	0	0.13
3	@Tulsa	W45-10	-20.6	24/31	396	5	1	96.8	—	—	1.09
4	vsUtah	L19-22	7.7	16/33	206	2	2	53.7	-8	0	0.29
5	@Kansas State	L20-42	14.1	26/50	364	1	2	61.7	4	0	0.16
6	vsWest Virginia	L14-38	2.1	10/19	116	1	2	12.6	-15	0	0.03
8	@BYU	L35-38	15.3	11/19	85	1	1	69.6	19	0	0.27
9	@Baylor	L28-38	8.4	28/42	359	1	1	75.7	-38	0	0.42
10	vsArizona State	L21-42	9.4	17/30	175	1	1	54.8	4	0	0.23
11	@TCU	L13-38	10.8	19/29	141	1	1	49.3	-9	0	0.27
14	@Colorado	L0-52	8.1	1/5	7	0	0	2.1	-10	0	-0.32

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

47.5%

Passing plays

79.8%

Rushing plays

5.1%

Standard downs

39.6%

Passing downs

63.6%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.34
Passing downs: 0.43
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.40 / -0.14

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).