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Matthew Schaefer vs Evan Bouchard

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Evan Bouchard is ahead on 11 of 13 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Evan Bouchard sits in the 99th percentile, Matthew Schaefer the 28th.

MeasureSchaeferBouchard
Scoring · NHL
Points28
Goals04
Assists24
Ice time per game24:1025:41
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.1353 pct0.2374 pct
Shot attempts per game5.093 pct6.096 pct
Goals above expected−0.328 pct+3.399 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share58.7%68 pct66.8%87 pct
Chances for per 602.4858 pct3.0075 pct
Chances against per 601.7574 pct1.4985 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.4685 pct+0.3678 pct
Creates per 60+0.3382 pct+0.2169 pct
Prevents per 60+0.1374 pct+0.1578 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 519 skaters who have at least 18 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →