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Matthew Schaefer vs Kyle Connor

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Kyle Connor is ahead on 7 of 12 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Kyle Connor sits in the 90th percentile, Matthew Schaefer the 29th.

MeasureSchaeferConnor
Scoring · NHL
Points25
Goals03
Assists22
Ice time per game24:1021:00
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.1352 pct0.7299 pct
Shot attempts per game5.093 pct8.799 pct
Goals above expected−0.329 pct+0.890 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share58.7%67 pct53.8%57 pct
Chances for per 602.4855 pct3.3687 pct
Chances against per 601.7574 pct2.8924 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.4685 pct+0.3374 pct
Creates per 60+0.3382 pct+0.3686 pct
Prevents per 60+0.1373 pct−0.0335 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 540 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →