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Collin Graf vs Shea Theodore

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Shea Theodore is ahead on 11 of 13 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Shea Theodore sits in the 86th percentile, Collin Graf the 30th.

MeasureGrafTheodore
Scoring · NHL
Points03
Goals01
Assists02
Ice time per game15:2422:44
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.0839 pct0.0942 pct
Shot attempts per game1.017 pct2.767 pct
Goals above expected−0.230 pct+0.786 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share37.8%20 pct44.0%33 pct
Chances for per 600.994 pct1.7926 pct
Chances against per 601.6281 pct2.2849 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.1757 pct+0.2970 pct
Creates per 60+0.0444 pct+0.2067 pct
Prevents per 60+0.1372 pct+0.0965 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 540 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →