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Trevor Connelly vs Tomas Hertl

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Tomas Hertl is ahead on 8 of 10 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Trevor Connelly sits in the 68th percentile, Tomas Hertl the 4th.

MeasureConnellyHertl
Scoring · NHL
Points11
Goals11
Assists00
Ice time per game11:2516:32
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.2883 pct0.6899 pct
Shot attempts per game3.073 pct5.797 pct
Goals above expected+0.268 pct−1.04 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share73.6%97 pct74.8%98 pct
Chances for per 604.4098 pct4.0796 pct
Chances against per 601.5884 pct1.3790 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.0543 pct+0.5791 pct
Creates per 60+0.0747 pct+0.4289 pct
Prevents per 60−0.0237 pct+0.1578 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 537 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →