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Zach Metsa vs Nils Hoglander

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Nils Hoglander is ahead on 8 of 9 measures. The widest gap is creates per 60: Nils Hoglander sits in the 87th percentile, Zach Metsa the 19th.

MeasureMetsaHoglander
Scoring · NHL
Points11
Goals01
Assists10
Ice time per game10:4111:05
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.001 pct0.0737 pct
Shot attempts per game0.01 pct2.047 pct
Goals above expected0.067 pct+0.891 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share—61.8%77 pct
Chances for per 60—2.8869 pct
Chances against per 60—1.7872 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60−0.0628 pct+0.6292 pct
Creates per 60−0.1319 pct+0.3887 pct
Prevents per 60+0.0759 pct+0.2590 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 540 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →