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Zach Metsa vs Erik Cernak

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Zach Metsa and Erik Cernak split the measures 6 each. The widest gap is shot attempts per game: Erik Cernak sits in the 72nd percentile, Zach Metsa the 1st.

MeasureMetsaCernak
Scoring · NHL
Points10
Goals00
Assists10
Ice time per game10:4118:17
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.001 pct0.1147 pct
Shot attempts per game0.01 pct3.072 pct
Goals above expected0.068 pct−0.232 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share54.1%57 pct55.3%60 pct
Chances for per 603.4889 pct2.8669 pct
Chances against per 602.9523 pct2.3148 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60−0.0629 pct−0.396 pct
Creates per 60−0.1319 pct−0.482 pct
Prevents per 60+0.0760 pct+0.0964 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 519 skaters who have at least 18 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →