Zach Metsa vs Connor McDavid
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Sabres · DZach MetsaChange first player
Sabres skaters
- Tage Thompson
- Jack Quinn
- Zach Benson
- Noah Ostlund
- Jiri Kulich
- Josh Norris
- Konsta Helenius
- Rasmus Dahlin
- Ryan McLeod
- Peyton Krebs
- Josh Doan
- Owen Power
- Mattias Samuelsson
- Louis Crevier
- Olen Zellweger
- Beck Malenstyn
- Sam Carrick
- Matt Grzelcyk
- Justin Danforth
- Zach Metsa
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Kyle Connor
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Clayton Keller
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
- Sebastian Aho
Another club (its chance leader)
Oilers · CConnor McDavidChange second player
Oilers skaters
- Leon Draisaitl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Evan Bouchard
- Connor McDavid
- Kasperi Kapanen
- Max Jones
- Trent Frederic
- Alex Formenton
- Isaac Howard
- Colton Dach
- Owen Michaels
- Mathieu Joseph
- Zach Hyman
- Ryan Shea
- Mattias Ekholm
- Josh Samanski
- Jake Walman
- Connor Murphy
- Shakir Mukhamadullin
- Ty Emberson
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Kyle Connor
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Clayton Keller
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
- Sebastian Aho
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Connor McDavid is ahead on 12 of 13 measures. The widest gap is creates per 60: Connor McDavid sits in the 98th percentile, Zach Metsa the 19th.
| Measure | Metsa | McDavid |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 1 | 9 |
| Goals | 0 | 2 |
| Assists | 1 | 7 |
| Ice time per game | 10:42 | 23:44 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.001 pct | 0.2274 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 0.01 pct | 2.766 pct |
| Goals above expected | 0.064 pct | +0.371 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 51.1%48 pct | 70.6%95 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 2.6964 pct | 3.4890 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 2.5837 pct | 1.4588 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | −0.0727 pct | +0.7195 pct |
| Creates per 60 | −0.1419 pct | +0.6598 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.0759 pct | +0.0554 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 543 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →