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Tom Willander vs Alex DeBrincat

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Alex DeBrincat is ahead on 7 of 12 measures. The widest gap is net impact per 60: Alex DeBrincat sits in the 94th percentile, Tom Willander the 1st.

MeasureWillanderDeBrincat
Scoring · NHL
Points31
Goals00
Assists31
Ice time per game20:4721:30
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.0212 pct0.2578 pct
Shot attempts per game1.018 pct4.087 pct
Goals above expected−0.151 pct−0.514 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share35.6%16 pct33.9%13 pct
Chances for per 601.5016 pct1.2211 pct
Chances against per 602.7133 pct2.3845 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60−0.691 pct+0.6694 pct
Creates per 60−0.296 pct+0.6396 pct
Prevents per 60−0.401 pct+0.0351 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 518 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →