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Will Smith vs John Tavares

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

John Tavares is ahead on 8 of 13 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Will Smith sits in the 81st percentile, John Tavares the 3rd.

MeasureSmithTavares
Scoring · NHL
Points32
Goals20
Assists12
Ice time per game19:0617:12
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.4796 pct0.3790 pct
Shot attempts per game2.767 pct3.377 pct
Goals above expected+0.681 pct−1.13 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share28.4%7 pct33.0%13 pct
Chances for per 601.3813 pct1.6019 pct
Chances against per 603.4911 pct3.2417 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60−0.1420 pct+0.3678 pct
Creates per 60+0.2269 pct+0.2775 pct
Prevents per 60−0.363 pct+0.0965 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 540 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →