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Leo Carlsson vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Leo Carlsson is ahead on 11 of 13 measures. The widest gap is chances for per 60: Leo Carlsson sits in the 84th percentile, Jean-Gabriel Pageau the 3rd.

MeasureCarlssonPageau
Scoring · NHL
Points51
Goals10
Assists41
Ice time per game19:0514:30
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.1765 pct0.0420 pct
Shot attempts per game1.531 pct1.015 pct
Goals above expected+0.782 pct−0.146 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share47.9%41 pct29.5%8 pct
Chances for per 603.2184 pct1.023 pct
Chances against per 603.4910 pct2.4343 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.1657 pct+0.0442 pct
Creates per 60+0.3180 pct+0.1154 pct
Prevents per 60−0.1617 pct−0.0729 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 543 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →