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Leo Carlsson vs Erik Gudbranson

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Leo Carlsson is ahead on 11 of 13 measures. The widest gap is creates per 60: Leo Carlsson sits in the 82nd percentile, Erik Gudbranson the 1st.

MeasureCarlssonGudbranson
Scoring · NHL
Points70
Goals10
Assists60
Ice time per game20:3517:10
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.1865 pct0.002 pct
Shot attempts per game1.736 pct0.55 pct
Goals above expected+0.576 pct0.064 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share48.0%41 pct46.6%38 pct
Chances for per 603.2084 pct1.5316 pct
Chances against per 603.4711 pct1.7576 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.1556 pct−0.502 pct
Creates per 60+0.3282 pct−0.511 pct
Prevents per 60−0.1715 pct0.0044 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 555 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →