Noah Ostlund vs Brock Nelson
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Change first player
Sabres skaters
- Tage Thompson
- Jack Quinn
- Zach Benson
- Noah Ostlund
- Jiri Kulich
- Josh Norris
- Konsta Helenius
- Rasmus Dahlin
- Ryan McLeod
- Peyton Krebs
- Josh Doan
- Owen Power
- Mattias Samuelsson
- Louis Crevier
- Olen Zellweger
- Beck Malenstyn
- Sam Carrick
- Matt Grzelcyk
- Justin Danforth
- Zach Metsa
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Kyle Connor
- Tomas Hertl
- William Nylander
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Kirill Marchenko
- John Tavares
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Clayton Keller
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
- Sebastian Aho
- Jack Hughes
- Brandon Hagel
- Morgan Geekie
Another club (its chance leader)
Change second player
Avalanche skaters
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Martin Necas
- Artturi Lehkonen
- Nicolas Roy
- Jaden Schwartz
- Cale Makar
- Nazem Kadri
- T.J. Hughes
- Fedor Svechkov
- Sam Malinski
- Brock Nelson
- Parker Kelly
- Brent Burns
- Gabriel Landeskog
- Josh Manson
- Noah Juulsen
- Devon Toews
- Brett Kulak
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Kyle Connor
- Tomas Hertl
- William Nylander
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Kirill Marchenko
- John Tavares
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Clayton Keller
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
- Sebastian Aho
- Jack Hughes
- Brandon Hagel
- Morgan Geekie
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Noah Ostlund is ahead on 6 of 10 measures. The widest gap is shot attempts per game: Noah Ostlund sits in the 85th percentile, Brock Nelson the 17th.
| Measure | Ostlund | Nelson |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 3 | 3 |
| Goals | 1 | 1 |
| Assists | 2 | 2 |
| Ice time per game | 18:15 | 17:43 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.3589 pct | 0.0942 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 3.785 pct | 1.017 pct |
| Goals above expected | 0.058 pct | +0.889 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 66.1%87 pct | 59.7%72 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 2.9472 pct | 3.1780 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 1.5186 pct | 2.1358 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | +0.2464 pct | +0.6493 pct |
| Creates per 60 | −0.0235 pct | +0.4891 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.2590 pct | +0.1680 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 555 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →
