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Fraser Minten vs Alex Bump

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Fraser Minten is ahead on 12 of 13 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Fraser Minten sits in the 78th percentile, Alex Bump the 9th.

MeasureMintenBump
Scoring · NHL
Points20
Goals10
Assists10
Ice time per game15:2212:08
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.1866 pct0.2171 pct
Shot attempts per game3.376 pct1.739 pct
Goals above expected+0.578 pct−0.69 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share62.1%79 pct37.4%19 pct
Chances for per 602.9974 pct2.0741 pct
Chances against per 601.8269 pct3.4712 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.2062 pct−0.368 pct
Creates per 60+0.1763 pct−0.2013 pct
Prevents per 60+0.0349 pct−0.1615 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 519 skaters who have at least 18 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →