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Fraser Minten vs Morgan Rielly

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Fraser Minten is ahead on 9 of 13 measures. The widest gap is chances against per 60: Fraser Minten sits in the 70th percentile, Morgan Rielly the 15th.

MeasureMintenRielly
Scoring · NHL
Points23
Goals10
Assists13
Ice time per game15:3620:05
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.1456 pct0.0942 pct
Shot attempts per game2.869 pct1.531 pct
Goals above expected+0.475 pct−0.422 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share55.5%62 pct46.4%37 pct
Chances for per 602.3249 pct2.7767 pct
Chances against per 601.8670 pct3.2015 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.1657 pct−0.2215 pct
Creates per 60+0.1357 pct+0.0950 pct
Prevents per 60+0.0348 pct−0.323 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 543 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →