Declan Carlile vs Nathan MacKinnon
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Penguins · DDeclan CarlileChange first player
Penguins skaters
- Sidney Crosby
- Evgeni Malkin
- Filip Hallander
- Egor Chinakhov
- Rickard Rakell
- Samuel Girard
- Ben Kindel
- Tommy Novak
- Connor Dewar
- Nick Robertson
- Blake Lizotte
- Declan Carlile
- Kris Letang
- Ville Koivunen
- Erik Karlsson
- Hendrix Lapierre
- Kaedan Korczak
- Andrei Kuzmenko
- Elmer Soderblom
- Trevor van Riemsdyk
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Kyle Connor
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Clayton Keller
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
- Sebastian Aho
Another club (its chance leader)
Avalanche · CNathan MacKinnonChange second player
Avalanche skaters
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Martin Necas
- Artturi Lehkonen
- Nicolas Roy
- Jaden Schwartz
- Cale Makar
- Nazem Kadri
- T.J. Hughes
- Fedor Svechkov
- Sam Malinski
- Brock Nelson
- Parker Kelly
- Brent Burns
- Gabriel Landeskog
- Josh Manson
- Noah Juulsen
- Devon Toews
- Brett Kulak
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Kyle Connor
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Clayton Keller
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
- Sebastian Aho
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Nathan MacKinnon is ahead on 9 of 12 measures. The widest gap is creates per 60: Nathan MacKinnon sits in the 99th percentile, Declan Carlile the 5th.
| Measure | Carlile | MacKinnon |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 4 | 5 |
| Goals | 2 | 2 |
| Assists | 2 | 3 |
| Ice time per game | 18:28 | 18:00 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.1557 pct | 0.6498 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 3.785 pct | 7.599 pct |
| Goals above expected | +1.698 pct | +0.785 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 57.5%68 pct | 63.4%83 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 3.3187 pct | 3.4890 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 2.4442 pct | 2.0163 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | −0.3210 pct | +1.2199 pct |
| Creates per 60 | −0.315 pct | +1.2599 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | −0.0140 pct | −0.0434 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 543 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →