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Declan Carlile vs Morgan Rielly

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Declan Carlile is ahead on 9 of 13 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Declan Carlile sits in the 97th percentile, Morgan Rielly the 23rd.

MeasureCarlileRielly
Scoring · NHL
Points43
Goals20
Assists23
Ice time per game18:2820:05
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.1557 pct0.0941 pct
Shot attempts per game3.784 pct1.531 pct
Goals above expected+1.697 pct−0.423 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share57.5%66 pct46.4%38 pct
Chances for per 603.3185 pct2.7765 pct
Chances against per 602.4442 pct3.2016 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60−0.3210 pct−0.2215 pct
Creates per 60−0.315 pct+0.0949 pct
Prevents per 60−0.0141 pct−0.323 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 537 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →