Arshdeep Bains vs Connor McDavid
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Canucks · LArshdeep BainsChange first player
Canucks skaters
- Marco Rossi
- Paul Cotter
- Drew O'Connor
- Max Sasson
- Brendan Gallagher
- Liam Ohgren
- Elias Pettersson
- Brock Boeser
- Jake DeBrusk
- Linus Karlsson
- Arshdeep Bains
- Jonathan Lekkerimäki
- Zeev Buium
- Elias Pettersson
- Filip Hronek
- Aatu Räty
- Tom Willander
- Jamie Oleksiak
- Luke Schenn
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Kyle Connor
- Tomas Hertl
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Clayton Keller
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
- Sebastian Aho
- Jack Hughes
Another club (its chance leader)
Oilers · CConnor McDavidChange second player
Oilers skaters
- Leon Draisaitl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Evan Bouchard
- Connor McDavid
- Kasperi Kapanen
- Max Jones
- Trent Frederic
- Alex Formenton
- Isaac Howard
- Colton Dach
- Owen Michaels
- Mathieu Joseph
- Zach Hyman
- Ryan Shea
- Mattias Ekholm
- Josh Samanski
- Jake Walman
- Connor Murphy
- Shakir Mukhamadullin
- Ty Emberson
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Kyle Connor
- Tomas Hertl
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Clayton Keller
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
- Sebastian Aho
- Jack Hughes
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Connor McDavid is ahead on 11 of 13 measures. The widest gap is chances against per 60: Connor McDavid sits in the 88th percentile, Arshdeep Bains the 31st.
| Measure | Bains | McDavid |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 2 | 9 |
| Goals | 1 | 2 |
| Assists | 1 | 7 |
| Ice time per game | 11:52 | 23:44 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.0839 pct | 0.2273 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 1.321 pct | 2.766 pct |
| Goals above expected | +0.782 pct | +0.372 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 48.5%43 pct | 70.6%94 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 2.5757 pct | 3.4889 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 2.7431 pct | 1.4588 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | +0.1960 pct | +0.7195 pct |
| Creates per 60 | +0.1153 pct | +0.6598 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.0863 pct | +0.0554 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 533 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →