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Arshdeep Bains vs Jake Guentzel

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Jake Guentzel is ahead on 8 of 12 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Arshdeep Bains sits in the 84th percentile, Jake Guentzel the 28th.

MeasureBainsGuentzel
Scoring · NHL
Points23
Goals11
Assists12
Ice time per game11:5221:10
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.0839 pct0.1353 pct
Shot attempts per game1.324 pct2.046 pct
Goals above expected+0.784 pct−0.328 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share48.5%45 pct47.4%43 pct
Chances for per 602.5760 pct2.2447 pct
Chances against per 602.7431 pct2.4941 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.1960 pct+0.5489 pct
Creates per 60+0.1153 pct+0.4992 pct
Prevents per 60+0.0863 pct+0.0554 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 519 skaters who have at least 18 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →