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Arshdeep Bains vs Tom Wilson

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Tom Wilson is ahead on 6 of 9 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Arshdeep Bains sits in the 82nd percentile, Tom Wilson the 29th.

MeasureBainsWilson
Scoring · NHL
Points21
Goals10
Assists11
Ice time per game11:5217:13
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.0840 pct0.1455 pct
Shot attempts per game1.321 pct1.531 pct
Goals above expected+0.782 pct−0.329 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share48.5%42 pct—
Chances for per 602.5760 pct—
Chances against per 602.7430 pct—
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.1961 pct+0.6092 pct
Creates per 60+0.1154 pct+0.3181 pct
Prevents per 60+0.0863 pct+0.2892 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 543 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →