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Jacob Melanson vs Brock Nelson

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Brock Nelson is ahead on 8 of 10 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Brock Nelson sits in the 90th percentile, Jacob Melanson the 34th.

MeasureMelansonNelson
Scoring · NHL
Points03
Goals01
Assists02
Ice time per game9:3117:43
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.2071 pct0.0941 pct
Shot attempts per game2.047 pct1.017 pct
Goals above expected−0.234 pct+0.890 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share—59.7%70 pct
Chances for per 60—3.1780 pct
Chances against per 60—2.1356 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.3071 pct+0.6493 pct
Creates per 60+0.2674 pct+0.4892 pct
Prevents per 60+0.0451 pct+0.1680 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 540 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →