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Fedor Svechkov vs Jake Guentzel

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Jake Guentzel is ahead on 9 of 12 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Fedor Svechkov sits in the 75th percentile, Jake Guentzel the 4th.

MeasureSvechkovGuentzel
Scoring · NHL
Points23
Goals11
Assists12
Ice time per game14:2921:13
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.1969 pct0.3690 pct
Shot attempts per game2.048 pct3.380 pct
Goals above expected+0.475 pct−1.14 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share61.1%77 pct59.2%72 pct
Chances for per 603.2886 pct3.3990 pct
Chances against per 602.0960 pct2.3348 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.2769 pct+0.5691 pct
Creates per 60+0.2674 pct+0.5294 pct
Prevents per 60+0.0246 pct+0.0451 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 555 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →