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Wyatt Johnston vs Connor McDavid

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Connor McDavid is ahead on 11 of 13 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Connor McDavid sits in the 72nd percentile, Wyatt Johnston the 1st.

MeasureJohnstonMcDavid
Scoring · NHL
Points19
Goals02
Assists17
Ice time per game20:2823:44
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.5497 pct0.2273 pct
Shot attempts per game4.088 pct2.766 pct
Goals above expected−1.61 pct+0.372 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share61.9%79 pct70.6%94 pct
Chances for per 603.1078 pct3.4889 pct
Chances against per 601.9169 pct1.4588 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.2263 pct+0.7195 pct
Creates per 60+0.4992 pct+0.6598 pct
Prevents per 60−0.266 pct+0.0554 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 533 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →