Dylan Guenther vs Connor McDavid
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Mammoth · RDylan GuentherChange first player
Mammoth skaters
- Nick Schmaltz
- Dylan Guenther
- Clayton Keller
- Anders Lee
- Michael Carcone
- Lawson Crouse
- Logan Cooley
- Barrett Hayton
- Jack McBain
- Daniil But
- Vincent Trocheck
- Mikhail Sergachev
- Andrew Peeke
- MacKenzie Weegar
- Nate Schmidt
- Dmitri Simashev
- John Marino
- Kevin Stenlund
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Kyle Connor
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Jordan Eberle
- William Eklund
- Nick Schmaltz
- Cole Perfetti
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Will Smith
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Sebastian Aho
- Marco Rossi
- Kirill Kaprizov
- JJ Peterka
- Artemi Panarin
- Sam Reinhart
Another club (its chance leader)
Oilers · CConnor McDavidChange second player
Oilers skaters
- Leon Draisaitl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Evan Bouchard
- Connor McDavid
- Kasperi Kapanen
- Max Jones
- Trent Frederic
- Alex Formenton
- Isaac Howard
- Colton Dach
- Owen Michaels
- Mathieu Joseph
- Zach Hyman
- Ryan Shea
- Mattias Ekholm
- Josh Samanski
- Jake Walman
- Connor Murphy
- Shakir Mukhamadullin
- Ty Emberson
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Kyle Connor
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Jordan Eberle
- William Eklund
- Nick Schmaltz
- Cole Perfetti
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Will Smith
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Sebastian Aho
- Marco Rossi
- Kirill Kaprizov
- JJ Peterka
- Artemi Panarin
- Sam Reinhart
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Connor McDavid is ahead on 9 of 13 measures. The widest gap is chances against per 60: Connor McDavid sits in the 87th percentile, Dylan Guenther the 55th.
| Measure | Guenther | McDavid |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 5 | 9 |
| Goals | 3 | 2 |
| Assists | 2 | 7 |
| Ice time per game | 15:43 | 23:44 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.4696 pct | 0.2274 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 5.093 pct | 2.767 pct |
| Goals above expected | +1.698 pct | +0.375 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 59.0%69 pct | 70.6%93 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 3.1079 pct | 3.4889 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 2.1655 pct | 1.4587 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | +0.3981 pct | +0.7195 pct |
| Creates per 60 | +0.4289 pct | +0.6697 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | −0.0238 pct | +0.0555 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 519 skaters who have at least 18 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →