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Tyson Foerster vs John Carlson

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

John Carlson is ahead on 9 of 13 measures. The widest gap is chance share: John Carlson sits in the 68th percentile, Tyson Foerster the 8th.

MeasureFoersterCarlson
Scoring · NHL
Points12
Goals10
Assists02
Ice time per game18:2420:42
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.3489 pct0.0944 pct
Shot attempts per game4.088 pct3.074 pct
Goals above expected−0.422 pct−0.328 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share28.9%8 pct59.1%68 pct
Chances for per 601.188 pct2.3850 pct
Chances against per 602.9124 pct1.6580 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.2768 pct+0.3273 pct
Creates per 60+0.0645 pct+0.1560 pct
Prevents per 60+0.2287 pct+0.1681 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 553 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →