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Luke Evangelista vs Auston Matthews

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Auston Matthews is ahead on 8 of 13 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Auston Matthews sits in the 76th percentile, Luke Evangelista the 5th.

MeasureEvangelistaMatthews
Scoring · NHL
Points15
Goals02
Assists13
Ice time per game18:3322:24
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.4394 pct0.4092 pct
Shot attempts per game5.595 pct5.093 pct
Goals above expected−0.95 pct+0.476 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share75.3%97 pct62.4%79 pct
Chances for per 604.7898 pct3.2482 pct
Chances against per 601.5684 pct1.9564 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.5690 pct+1.0999 pct
Creates per 60+0.3888 pct+0.8499 pct
Prevents per 60+0.1781 pct+0.2489 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 542 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →