Mavrik Bourque vs Ryan O'Reilly
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Predators · CMavrik BourqueChange first player
Predators skaters
- Steven Stamkos
- Adam Edstrom
- Matthew Wood
- Mavrik Bourque
- Filip Forsberg
- Roman Josi
- Nick Perbix
- Nils Hoglander
- Jonathan Marchessault
- Ross Colton
- Reid Schaefer
- Brady Skjei
- William Trudeau
- Ryan Ufko
- Alexander Kerfoot
- Jack Ahcan
- Nicolas Hague
- Adam Wilsby
- Jack Drury
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Kyle Connor
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Jordan Eberle
- William Eklund
- Nick Schmaltz
- Cole Perfetti
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Will Smith
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Sebastian Aho
- Marco Rossi
- Kirill Kaprizov
- JJ Peterka
- Artemi Panarin
- Sam Reinhart
Another club (its chance leader)
Predators · CRyan O'ReillyChange second player
Predators skaters
- Steven Stamkos
- Adam Edstrom
- Matthew Wood
- Ryan O'Reilly
- Filip Forsberg
- Roman Josi
- Nick Perbix
- Nils Hoglander
- Jonathan Marchessault
- Ross Colton
- Reid Schaefer
- Brady Skjei
- William Trudeau
- Ryan Ufko
- Alexander Kerfoot
- Jack Ahcan
- Nicolas Hague
- Adam Wilsby
- Jack Drury
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Kyle Connor
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Jordan Eberle
- William Eklund
- Nick Schmaltz
- Cole Perfetti
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Will Smith
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Sebastian Aho
- Marco Rossi
- Kirill Kaprizov
- JJ Peterka
- Artemi Panarin
- Sam Reinhart
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Ryan O'Reilly is ahead on 10 of 12 measures. The widest gap is chance share: Ryan O'Reilly sits in the 50th percentile, Mavrik Bourque the 12th.
| Measure | Bourque | O'Reilly |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 0 | 1 |
| Goals | 0 | 0 |
| Assists | 0 | 1 |
| Ice time per game | 17:45 | 20:42 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.1558 pct | 0.1455 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 3.072 pct | 2.560 pct |
| Goals above expected | −0.324 pct | −0.326 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 33.1%12 pct | 51.2%50 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 1.106 pct | 2.0942 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 2.2253 pct | 2.0062 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | +0.1960 pct | +0.5690 pct |
| Creates per 60 | +0.1153 pct | +0.3685 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.0863 pct | +0.2085 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 519 skaters who have at least 18 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →