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Alexis Lafrenière vs Braeden Bowman

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Alexis Lafrenière is ahead on 7 of 12 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Braeden Bowman sits in the 73rd percentile, Alexis Lafrenière the 3rd.

MeasureLafrenièreBowman
Scoring · NHL
Points12
Goals01
Assists11
Ice time per game19:1211:14
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.2780 pct0.2475 pct
Shot attempts per game2.869 pct2.047 pct
Goals above expected−1.13 pct+0.373 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share54.7%59 pct59.1%68 pct
Chances for per 602.6963 pct3.6192 pct
Chances against per 602.2352 pct2.5039 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.6392 pct−0.0529 pct
Creates per 60+0.4390 pct+0.1153 pct
Prevents per 60+0.2083 pct−0.1615 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 540 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →