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Alexis Lafrenière vs Jaroslav Chmelar

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Alexis Lafrenière is ahead on 11 of 12 measures. The widest gap is prevents per 60: Alexis Lafrenière sits in the 84th percentile, Jaroslav Chmelar the 25th.

MeasureLafrenièreChmelar
Scoring · NHL
Points10
Goals00
Assists10
Ice time per game19:127:11
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.2781 pct0.1351 pct
Shot attempts per game2.870 pct1.017 pct
Goals above expected−1.13 pct−0.421 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share54.7%59 pct40.8%27 pct
Chances for per 602.6962 pct1.5718 pct
Chances against per 602.2353 pct2.2751 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.6392 pct+0.0846 pct
Creates per 60+0.4389 pct+0.1763 pct
Prevents per 60+0.2084 pct−0.0925 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 553 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →