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Alexis Lafrenière vs Kirill Marchenko

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Kirill Marchenko is ahead on 10 of 13 measures. The widest gap is chances against per 60: Kirill Marchenko sits in the 86th percentile, Alexis Lafrenière the 53rd.

MeasureLafrenièreMarchenko
Scoring · NHL
Points13
Goals01
Assists12
Ice time per game19:1219:51
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.2781 pct0.4796 pct
Shot attempts per game2.870 pct4.390 pct
Goals above expected−1.13 pct−0.95 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share54.7%59 pct66.2%87 pct
Chances for per 602.6962 pct2.9673 pct
Chances against per 602.2353 pct1.5186 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.6392 pct+0.4383 pct
Creates per 60+0.4389 pct+0.3282 pct
Prevents per 60+0.2084 pct+0.1067 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 553 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →