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Alexis Lafrenière vs Erik Gustafsson

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Alexis Lafrenière is ahead on 10 of 13 measures. The widest gap is expected goals per game: Alexis Lafrenière sits in the 74th percentile, Erik Gustafsson the 6th.

MeasureLafrenièreGustafsson
Scoring · NHL
Points51
Goals30
Assists21
Ice time per game19:0816:07
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.2374 pct0.016 pct
Shot attempts per game2.664 pct1.531 pct
Goals above expected−0.144 pct0.060 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share53.0%54 pct59.0%71 pct
Chances for per 602.6161 pct1.7224 pct
Chances against per 602.3148 pct1.1995 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.6092 pct+0.1758 pct
Creates per 60+0.4289 pct+0.0545 pct
Prevents per 60+0.1881 pct+0.1270 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 543 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →