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Justin Sourdif vs Macklin Celebrini

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Macklin Celebrini is ahead on 8 of 13 measures. The widest gap is shot attempts per game: Macklin Celebrini sits in the 95th percentile, Justin Sourdif the 17th.

MeasureSourdifCelebrini
Scoring · NHL
Points15
Goals10
Assists05
Ice time per game12:4222:20
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.0736 pct0.2272 pct
Shot attempts per game1.017 pct5.595 pct
Goals above expected+0.991 pct−0.416 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share56.9%63 pct53.3%54 pct
Chances for per 603.0777 pct1.5919 pct
Chances against per 602.3248 pct1.3989 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.5088 pct+0.5489 pct
Creates per 60+0.3483 pct+0.2978 pct
Prevents per 60+0.1681 pct+0.2489 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 540 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →