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Lucas Raymond vs Nathan MacKinnon

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Nathan MacKinnon is ahead on 11 of 13 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Nathan MacKinnon sits in the 86th percentile, Lucas Raymond the 21st.

MeasureRaymondMacKinnon
Scoring · NHL
Points05
Goals02
Assists03
Ice time per game21:5818:00
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.1764 pct0.6498 pct
Shot attempts per game3.579 pct7.599 pct
Goals above expected−0.321 pct+0.786 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share47.5%43 pct63.4%82 pct
Chances for per 602.4757 pct3.4889 pct
Chances against per 602.7332 pct2.0161 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.3476 pct+1.2199 pct
Creates per 60+0.3685 pct+1.2599 pct
Prevents per 60−0.0239 pct−0.0335 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 519 skaters who have at least 18 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →