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Jack Hughes vs Clayton Keller

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Jack Hughes is ahead on 10 of 13 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Jack Hughes sits in the 58th percentile, Clayton Keller the 1st.

MeasureHughesKeller
Scoring · NHL
Points15
Goals10
Assists05
Ice time per game23:2517:37
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.5297 pct0.4495 pct
Shot attempts per game6.096 pct4.087 pct
Goals above expected0.058 pct−1.31 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share69.7%92 pct61.7%78 pct
Chances for per 603.9695 pct3.0175 pct
Chances against per 601.7275 pct1.8768 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.7197 pct+0.6897 pct
Creates per 60+0.5597 pct+0.4594 pct
Prevents per 60+0.1779 pct+0.2288 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 519 skaters who have at least 18 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →