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Cole Caufield vs Tommy Novak

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Tommy Novak is ahead on 7 of 12 measures. The widest gap is prevents per 60: Tommy Novak sits in the 55th percentile, Cole Caufield the 5th.

MeasureCaufieldNovak
Scoring · NHL
Points24
Goals22
Assists02
Ice time per game19:2315:19
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.2678 pct0.1968 pct
Shot attempts per game5.093 pct2.047 pct
Goals above expected+1.597 pct+1.497 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share41.2%28 pct45.9%36 pct
Chances for per 602.3649 pct2.0238 pct
Chances against per 603.3614 pct2.3845 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.3272 pct+0.7095 pct
Creates per 60+0.6196 pct+0.6597 pct
Prevents per 60−0.295 pct+0.0555 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 540 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →