Nils Hoglander vs Matt Roy
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Predators · LNils HoglanderChange first player
Predators skaters
- Steven Stamkos
- Nils Hoglander
- Adam Edstrom
- Matthew Wood
- Filip Forsberg
- Ryan O'Reilly
- Mavrik Bourque
- Nick Perbix
- Jonathan Marchessault
- Roman Josi
- Adam Wilsby
- Ross Colton
- Alexander Kerfoot
- William Trudeau
- Reid Schaefer
- Nicolas Hague
- Brady Skjei
- Jack Drury
- Ryan Ufko
- Jack Ahcan
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Kyle Connor
- Tomas Hertl
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Clayton Keller
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
- Sebastian Aho
- Jack Hughes
Another club (its chance leader)
Capitals · DMatt RoyChange second player
Capitals skaters
- Alex Tuch
- Dylan Strome
- Ryan Leonard
- Jakob Chychrun
- Anthony Beauvillier
- Cole Hutson
- Tom Wilson
- Aliaksei Protas
- Boone Jenner
- Martin Fehérváry
- Matt Roy
- Jordan Kyrou
- Justin Sourdif
- Pierre-Luc Dubois
- Alex Ovechkin
- Timothy Liljegren
- Vincent Desharnais
- Ilya Protas
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Kyle Connor
- Tomas Hertl
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Clayton Keller
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
- Sebastian Aho
- Jack Hughes
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Nils Hoglander is ahead on 10 of 12 measures. The widest gap is chances for per 60: Nils Hoglander sits in the 99th percentile, Matt Roy the 25th.
| Measure | Hoglander | Roy |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 3 | 0 |
| Goals | 3 | 0 |
| Assists | 0 | 0 |
| Ice time per game | 10:56 | 18:26 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.3791 pct | 0.0942 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 2.047 pct | 0.56 pct |
| Goals above expected | +1.999 pct | −0.238 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 66.9%89 pct | 41.7%27 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 4.9199 pct | 1.7325 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 2.4244 pct | 2.4244 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | +0.7196 pct | +0.1152 pct |
| Creates per 60 | +0.4992 pct | −0.0922 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.2288 pct | +0.2186 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 537 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →