Kirill Marchenko vs Leo Carlsson
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Maple Leafs · RKirill MarchenkoChange first player
Maple Leafs skaters
- William Nylander
- Kirill Marchenko
- John Tavares
- Auston Matthews
- Jack Roslovic
- Colton Sissons
- Easton Cowan
- Darren Raddysh
- Nick Paul
- Gavin McKenna
- Teddy Blueger
- Oliver Ekman-Larsson
- Morgan Rielly
- Jake McCabe
- Brandon Duhaime
- Bo Groulx
- Chris Tanev
- Troy Stecher
- Zack MacEwen
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Kyle Connor
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Nick Schmaltz
- Brandon Hagel
- Morgan Geekie
- Will Smith
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Tyson Foerster
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Gabriel Vilardi
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- David Pastrnak
Another club (its chance leader)
Ducks · CLeo CarlssonChange second player
Ducks skaters
- Cutter Gauthier
- Beckett Sennecke
- Mikael Granlund
- A.J. Greer
- Ryan Poehling
- Leo Carlsson
- Jackson LaCombe
- Tristan Luneau
- Pavel Mintyukov
- Tyson Hinds
- Jeff Malott
- Alex Killorn
- Tim Washe
- Nikita Nesterenko
- Sam Colangelo
- Noah Warren
- Frank Vatrano
- Judd Caulfield
- Travis Mitchell
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Kyle Connor
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Nick Schmaltz
- Brandon Hagel
- Morgan Geekie
- Will Smith
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Tyson Foerster
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Gabriel Vilardi
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- David Pastrnak
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Kirill Marchenko is ahead on 9 of 12 measures. The widest gap is chances against per 60: Kirill Marchenko sits in the 82nd percentile, Leo Carlsson the 11th.
| Measure | Marchenko | Carlsson |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 2 | 5 |
| Goals | 1 | 1 |
| Assists | 1 | 4 |
| Ice time per game | 19:17 | 19:05 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.3891 pct | 0.1765 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 4.390 pct | 1.532 pct |
| Goals above expected | −0.142 pct | +0.783 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 68.2%89 pct | 47.9%42 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 3.4288 pct | 3.2182 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 1.6082 pct | 3.4911 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | +0.4484 pct | +0.1556 pct |
| Creates per 60 | +0.3585 pct | +0.3179 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.0863 pct | −0.1616 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 540 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →