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Kirill Marchenko vs Frederick Gaudreau

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Kirill Marchenko is ahead on 11 of 12 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Frederick Gaudreau sits in the 80th percentile, Kirill Marchenko the 6th.

MeasureMarchenkoGaudreau
Scoring · NHL
Points31
Goals11
Assists20
Ice time per game19:5114:35
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.4796 pct0.1145 pct
Shot attempts per game4.391 pct2.047 pct
Goals above expected−0.96 pct+0.680 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share66.2%89 pct39.5%22 pct
Chances for per 602.9676 pct2.1845 pct
Chances against per 601.5186 pct3.3312 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.4384 pct−0.3210 pct
Creates per 60+0.3382 pct−0.1717 pct
Prevents per 60+0.1066 pct−0.1518 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 543 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →