Kirill Marchenko vs Tomas Hertl
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Maple Leafs · RKirill MarchenkoChange first player
Maple Leafs skaters
- William Nylander
- Kirill Marchenko
- John Tavares
- Auston Matthews
- Jack Roslovic
- Colton Sissons
- Easton Cowan
- Nick Paul
- Gavin McKenna
- Darren Raddysh
- Morgan Rielly
- Oliver Ekman-Larsson
- Brandon Duhaime
- Teddy Blueger
- Jake McCabe
- Troy Stecher
- Bo Groulx
- Chris Tanev
- Zack MacEwen
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Kyle Connor
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Clayton Keller
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
- Sebastian Aho
Another club (its chance leader)
Golden Knights · CTomas HertlChange second player
Golden Knights skaters
- Tomas Hertl
- Brett Howden
- William Karlsson
- Victor Olofsson
- Mark Stone
- Mitch Marner
- Jack Eichel
- Trevor Connelly
- Braeden Bowman
- Marc Gatcomb
- Shea Theodore
- Ivan Barbashev
- Noah Hanifin
- Nic Dowd
- Rasmus Andersson
- Brayden McNabb
- Jeremy Lauzon
- Parker Wotherspoon
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Kyle Connor
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Clayton Keller
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
- Sebastian Aho
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Tomas Hertl is ahead on 11 of 12 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Tomas Hertl sits in the 70th percentile, Kirill Marchenko the 6th.
| Measure | Marchenko | Hertl |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 3 | 5 |
| Goals | 1 | 3 |
| Assists | 2 | 2 |
| Ice time per game | 19:51 | 16:25 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.4796 pct | 0.6899 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 4.391 pct | 5.395 pct |
| Goals above expected | −0.96 pct | +0.370 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 66.2%89 pct | 72.5%97 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 2.9676 pct | 3.8895 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 1.5186 pct | 1.4788 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | +0.4384 pct | +0.6092 pct |
| Creates per 60 | +0.3382 pct | +0.4490 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.1066 pct | +0.1679 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 543 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →